2005 hurricane predictions

Source	Prediction (Results)
NOAA ISSUES 2005 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK	Another Above Normal Season Expected *(Way above normal 263%)*
Hurricane Alley Tropical Cyclone Formation and Landfall Forecast	Looks a lot like 2004 (It was worse)
Tropical Storm Risk	85% probibility that 2005 season will be above normal download pdf *(True)*
Colorado State University , William Gray	We foresee above-average hurricane season for the Atlantic basin in 05 *(Yep)*
The Mystic Tarot	We predict a relatively quite hurricane season with little activity *( Doh!)*
NOAA drought in Florida	Dry May increases chance of bad hurricane season *(This was the case)*

Well the results speak for themselves. Mystic Tarot was about as wrong as it could be. A record season 26 named storms. 3 hit Florida, Rita and Katrina hammered the gulf coast states. The 2005 season had an activity level of 263% above a normal year. Estimates for 2006 are better but not much, 197% higher than normal.

The house in the above photo is in the Pensacola Beach area. Ivan destroyed many homes here, this one survived with a metal roof. The doors and windows were gone but the walls stayed up because the roof stayed on.